Moonbird Predictor

Input a comma-separated series of human-assigned probabilties (between 0 and 1) to get Moonbird Predictor's best guess at the likelihood of the event happening. Slightly outperforms naive averaging in validation against PredictionBook data!
Proposition
Prediction
Jeremy 2024 Donald trump will have a landslide vuctory makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Testicular TM makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
321456; Mehmet Erbaş makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
The eagles don't win the superbowl makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
I think the steelers will beat the packers makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Apple officially announces a folding screen device by EoY 2027. makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Eagles win superbowl makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Treasury to instruct the Fed to revalue U.S. gold deposits at $8,000/oz or more before 3Q26 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Russia uses a tactical nuclear warhead in the Ukraine war between Nov 2023 – Feb 2025. makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Elon Musk will run for a political office in 2024 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Elon Musk will attempt to run for president in 2024 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Fewer people globally will die of deseases makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
PredictionBook will transition to read-only mode as originally stated. makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Q3 2023 recession by NBER makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Q2 2023 recession by NBER makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
27 USC 174 incremental revenues TY22+TY23 < 57.1 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Bank Term Funding Program renewed or other liquidity for banks' U.S. Treasuries provided on or before expiration makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
BJP will win India's Lok Sabha 2024 Elections makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Narendra Modi will not be PM after India's Lok Sabha 2024 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
SpaceX most valuable company in the world by 2060 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
01490734 —> curiga paraganglioma dd myxoid ependymoma makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Massa psoas sign? Hasil PA makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
(John Brady) – David Hambly will buy drinks at path update 2024 for complaining about work. makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
My directness in communication will increase proportional to the amount of life expereinces that I have. I will also be less tolerant towards people trying to be dishonest for the sake of being polite. makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
80k will give personal 1:1 advice to Prownie makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
I will reach 175lbs body weight by the Oahu marathon makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
the dallas cowboys will not win the superbowl makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
A room temperature, ambient pressure superconductor is used in household appliances by 2050 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
A room temperature, ambient pressure superconductor is used in household appliances by 2040 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
A room temperature, ambient pressure superconductor is used in household appliances by 2030 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
General consensus that LK-99 or some component of it is a room temp superconductor by Sept 1, 2024 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
65616211 – subependymoom makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Will my brother call me/want to talk with me in the next two weeks? makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Alien invasion, real or faked by end of 2025. makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
SPR below 300M by end of H1 2024 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
SPR below 341M by end of 2024 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
I in 3 years makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
I in 2 years makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Páncreas adenocarcinoma 5885272 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Metástasis hemorragicas 7061675 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Ectasia ductal makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Above 45°C temperature record in germany as of 2050 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Above 45°C temperature record in germany as of 2030 makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition
Zuckerberg wins against Musk (cond the match happens, cond no technology used in/immediately before battle) makePrediction couldn't run request: googleapi: Error 400: Cloud AI Platform has been deprecated. Please use Vertex AI (https://cloud.google.com/vertex-ai) instead., failedPrecondition